{"id":4548,"date":"2019-05-21T08:15:07","date_gmt":"2019-05-20T22:15:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=4548"},"modified":"2023-06-20T14:45:22","modified_gmt":"2023-06-20T04:45:22","slug":"journalists-savva-and-karvelas-knew-the-polling-was-wrong-yet-they-kept-quiet-why","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=4548","title":{"rendered":"Journalists Savva and Karvelas knew the polling was wrong. Yet they kept quiet. Why?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Over the weekend, the Australian federal election ended in a manner that was the exact opposite of that expected by the public if one were to go by the opinion polls \u2014 Newspoll and Ipsos \u2014 that ran in the major media outlets. Both predicted a win for Labor. The result, as you are well aware, could not have been more different.<\/p>\n<p>But surprisingly there were some people who were aware that the polling was not correct and kept mum about it. [Watch <a href=\"https:\/\/www.abc.net.au\/insiders\/sunday-19-may-post-election-special\/11128206\"><strong>this video<\/strong><\/a> from 11:29].<\/p>\n<p>ABC journalist Patricia Karvelas mentioned during election coverage on the network that she had been told of internal polling by the Labor Party that indicated that the reality was different. Karvelas said on the Insiders program on Sunday that Labor sources had told her of internal polling that indicated that things in Queensland were quite different to what was being reported in public.<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\nAnd Niki Savva, a journalist who writes for The Australian, said on the same program that she had been told similar things by the Liberals; that their internal polling was totally different from what the public polls were saying and that there was no reason to fear they would lose any seats in that state.<\/p>\n<p>Yet both these journalists kept quiet about it. One would have thought that this was a story well worth writing and one that the public should know about. In the case of the ABC, the public pays Karvelas&#8217; wages and thus the obligation to report something so newsworthy was all the more pressing.<\/p>\n<p>I think this is due to what I call an incestuous relationship between political reporters and politicians. It is <a href=\"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=4307\"><strong>not the first time<\/strong><\/a> it has happened. The public are the mugs in such cases.<\/p>\n<p>Last year, the fact that Barnaby Joyce was having an affair with Vicki Campion, a media adviser of his, was revealed by the Telegraph. The reporter concerned earned a lot of righteous criticism from many others in the profession.<\/p>\n<p>People like Katharine Murphy of the Guardian and Jacqueline Maley of the Sydney Morning Herald knew about it and kept mum. Another journalist, Julia Baird of the ABC, tried to spin the story as one that showed how a woman in Joyce&#8217;s position would have been treated\u00a0 \u2013much worse, was her opinion. But all three did not say a word.<\/p>\n<p>The story was in the public interest, because Joyce and Campion are both paid from the public purse. When their affair became an issue, Joyce had her moved around to the offices of his National Party mates, Matt Canavan and Damian Drum, at salaries that went as high as $190,000.<\/p>\n<p>At the time, Joyce was no ordinary politician \u2013 he was the deputy prime minister and thus acted as the head of the country whenever the prime minister was out of the country. Thus anything that affected his functioning was of interest to the public as he could make decisions that affected them.<\/p>\n<p>A third such case is that which concerns Peter Costello and John Howard. In 2005, journalists Michael Brissenden (ABC), Tony Wright (Fairfax) and Paul Daley (freelance) were at a dinner with former treasurer Peter Costello at which he told them he had set next April (2006) as the absolute deadline \u2014 that is, mid-term \u2014\u009d for John Howard to stand aside; if not, he would challenge him.<\/p>\n<p>Costello was said by Brissenden to have declared that a challenge &#8220;will happen then&#8221;\u009d if &#8220;Howard is still there&#8221;\u009d. &#8220;I&#8217;ll do it,&#8221;\u009d he said. He said he was &#8220;prepared to go the backbench&#8221;\u009d. He said he&#8217;d carp at Howard&#8217;s leadership from the backbench\u009d and &#8220;destroy it&#8221;\u009d until he \u00e2\u20ac\u0153won\u00e2\u20ac\u009d the leadership.<\/p>\n<p>But the three journalists kept mum about what would have been a big scoop, because Costello&#8217;s press secretary asked them not to write the yarn.<\/p>\n<p>There was a great deal of speculation in the run-up to the 2007 election as to whether Howard would step down; one story in July 2006 said there had been an unspoken 1994 agreement between him and Costello to vacate the PM&#8217;s seat and make way for Costello to get the top job.<\/p>\n<p>Had the three journalists at that 2005 dinner gone ahead and reported the story \u2014 as journalists are supposed to do \u2014 it is unlikely that Howard would have been able to carry on as he did. It would have forced Costello to challenge for the leadership or quit. In short, it would have changed the course of politics.<\/p>\n<p>But Brissenden, Daley and Wright kept mum.<\/p>\n<p>These are all cases that impact on the public knowing what they should, by right, know.<br \/>\n<!-- Start of StatCounter Code for Default Guide --><br \/>\n<script type=\"text\/javascript\">\nvar sc_project=2720500; \nvar sc_invisible=1; \nvar sc_security=\"d25d8712\"; \nvar scJsHost = ((\"https:\" == document.location.protocol) ?\n\"https:\/\/secure.\" : \"http:\/\/www.\");\ndocument.write(\"<sc\"+\"ript type='text\/javascript' src='\" + scJsHost+ \"statcounter.com\/counter\/counter.js'><\/\"+\"script>\");\n<\/script><br \/>\n<noscript><\/p>\n<div class=\"statcounter\"><a title=\"Web Analytics\" href=\"http:\/\/statcounter.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"statcounter\" src=\"\/\/c.statcounter.com\/2720500\/0\/d25d8712\/1\/\" alt=\"Web Analytics\"><\/a><\/div>\n<p><\/noscript><br \/>\n<!-- End of StatCounter Code for Default Guide --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the weekend, the Australian federal election ended in a manner that was the exact opposite of that expected by the public if one were to go by the opinion polls \u2014 Newspoll and Ipsos \u2014 that ran in the major media outlets. Both predicted a win for Labor. The result, as you are well &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=4548\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Journalists Savva and Karvelas knew the polling was wrong. Yet they kept quiet. Why?&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[16,3,51,18,28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4548","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-abc","category-australia","category-journalism","category-media","category-politics"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":2807,"url":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=2807","url_meta":{"origin":4548,"position":0},"title":"Do we really need election campaigns?","date":"August 22, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"AUSTRALIA is in the middle of an election campaign that will culminate in polls being held on September 7. By law after an election is called, there needs to be a minimum of 33 days before the poll itself. And the polling day has to be a Saturday. Campaigns involve\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5144,"url":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=5144","url_meta":{"origin":4548,"position":1},"title":"Important news from The Age. It's the sainted editor speaking...","date":"April 2, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"An indication of how far The Age, a tabloid newspaper that is published from Melbourne, has sunk can be seen from a letter to subscribers [note, not those who read it free] from the editor, Gay Alcorn on 2 April. Perhaps to imbue said document with importance, Alcorn chose to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;ABC&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2246,"url":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=2246","url_meta":{"origin":4548,"position":2},"title":"USA 2012: the land of poll rigging","date":"September 26, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"AS THE 2012 US presidential election nears, the ugly spectre of poll rigging has reared its head, despite the fact that the last poll saw the Republican candidate, John McCain, being wiped out. Given that there are cases pending over laws that insist on photo IDs if one wants to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;America&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":65,"url":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=65","url_meta":{"origin":4548,"position":3},"title":"Australia is not ready for a female prime minister","date":"August 26, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"IT IS now five days since Australia went to the polls to elect a new government for the three years to 2013 - and the results are not known. It looks very likely that the end result will be both the major parties - Labor and the Liberal\/National coalition -\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Australia&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2698,"url":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=2698","url_meta":{"origin":4548,"position":4},"title":"Conflicted guests compromise the ABC's standards","date":"July 14, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"THE Australian Broadcasting Corporation is a government-funded entity which operates on the lines of the BBC. It provides some of the better media content in the country, but this is not surprising since the standards of the rest are abysmally low. Murdoch-owned media constitute about 70 per cent of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;ABC&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4272,"url":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/?p=4272","url_meta":{"origin":4548,"position":5},"title":"All your gods have feet of clay: Sarah Ferguson's fall from grace","date":"December 31, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The year that ends today was remarkable for one thing on the media front that has gone largely unnoticed: the fall from grace of one of the Australian Broadcasting Corporation's brightest stars who has long been a standard-setter at the country's national broadcaster. Sarah Ferguson was the journalist's journalist, seemingly\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;ABC&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/sams-blog.com\/wp-content\/sams-blog.com\/2021\/02\/ferguson.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4548","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4548"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4548\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5439,"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4548\/revisions\/5439"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4548"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4548"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sams-blog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4548"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}